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Bank Credit Risk Early Warning: the second half of paper products exports decline sharply

, Which in February data showed export growth rate of paper products is as high as 54.18%. This phenomenon occurs mainly due to early rumors Suozhi related. Policy adjustments and taking into account the appreciation of the renminbi and other factors, the second half of the El in 2007 the growth rate will drop slightly. BCT analysis: a policy of export tax rebate for paper products involving the Ministry of Finance and other related departments in June 19Et issued a notice requiring 1Et since July 2007, the adjustment of some of the goods the export tax rebate policy. Among them, the paper products export tax rebate rate down to 5%. Tissue paper and disposable products and related processed products are included. China's decision on the use of imported raw materials to produce pulp, paper and cardboard 13% abolish export tax rebates. Also decided to cardboard, corrugated paper, duplex board imposed a 2%, respectively, 7.5% and 5% import duty. = 1 on the impact of the paper industry. Significant negative impact is expected there will be further followed the introduction of the policy direction of the Government to adjust export tax rebate is very clear, that the focus on control of resources, high energy consumption and high pollution industry, exports, value-added exports in sectors with low limit. Tires, rubber, paper products, chemicals, furniture and other industries are subject to export tax rebate policy significantly negative impact. The export tax rebate policy adjustment, shows that the Government through the structure. J Health policy to curb the excessive appreciation of international determination to balance of payments surplus is expected then there will be further policymaking. Its direction is still decreasing, or cancel or impose export tariffs to curb domestic resources, high ll energy consumption and high pollution industry, exports, therefore, paper products, chemicals, furniture and other industries for possible future adjustments will be new pressure to bear. 2. Adjust the structure of the national paper industry in 2006, the focus on the release of production capacity, making the paper industry overcapacity situation, the paper industry exports increased significantly. According to the current export trends paper industry, available resources and the environment will be unbearable, economic development will face difficulties, the adjustment of export tax rebate on the paper reflects the attitude of the relevant departments of the paper industry, due to the special nature of the paper industry from the consumption of resources and value-added products is not suitable for export-oriented model of economic growth, the Government hopes to guide progressive to meet the domestic demand for paper industry position paper industry does not encourage rapid export growth, and gradually change its mode of economic growth adjust the paper industry product mix. 3. Paper on the domestic small and medium enterprises survive great touch export tax rebates reduced the amount of 8 percentage points, on the domestic small and medium enterprises survive system great touch paper, these enterprises are mainly imported from abroad, pulp, extensive management, low value-added products, without its own brand in overseas markets and channel construction is heavily dependent on the agent, bargaining power is weak. Therefore, originally supported a small profit enterprises, may be out of business or bankrupt, but another part of the corporate business model they can be adjusted to change the product structure, by controlling the supply chain to control costs and enhance competitiveness of the opportunity to grow their own business up. Three paper companies Strategies 1. Adjust the product structure of export products, paper products, low value-added low-end products accounted for a large proportion of the export tax rebate rate down, to a certain extent, undermine the export competitiveness of enterprises, reducing the company's profit margins. If the product structure does not change, not to enhance the added value, you will lose the market, lost customers, threatening the survival and development. Therefore, the paper-making enterprises should adjust its export variety, try reducing low value-added of the \Enterprises should implement business strategy of product differentiation, do not fight in the traditional market prices,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and strive to achieve the goal of high-end wins. 2. Optimize the industrial chain business, concern pulp project of the enterprise export tax rebate policy to optimize the industrial structure of opportunities. It is understood that China's paper industry raw materials in the fiber of high external dependence is eroding the international competitiveness of the industry, coupled with low added value, the radius of limited transport, export competitiveness has been weak. Therefore, enterprises need to change the passive situation of the industrial chain. Investment projects of raw materials, reduce dependence on international high-priced raw materials, enhance the right to speak on the price. 3. Using waste paper as raw material. Improve the utilization of the present paper, using waste paper as raw material, comparable with the average per ton of paper saves two meters of logs of wood as raw material, 400 kg of coal, 400 kWh of electricity, 33 tons of water. In addition to low cost,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], waste paper generated in the wastewater treatment costs only 0.5 yuan / m, is the lowest of three paper-making raw materials, less pollution. At the same time, domestic waste paper utilization rate is still quite low,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], less than 60%, 20 percentage points lower than abroad, therefore, enterprises should establish channels for the acquisition of waste paper,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], to achieve industrialization, increased waste paper utilization. \. Of I13
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